Manage your core business assumptions and secure your company's long-term success

What have you come to accept about your customers, products and competitors? What assumptions has your company consecrated as gospel? How confident are you in the assumptions you are making about core dimensions of your business, such as:

• The price sensitivity of your customers
• Your partners’ biggest priorities & challenges
• The macro forces - e.g., technology - that are having the greatest influence on your industry

Which of your existing assumptions are most ripe for "busting"?
Let's warm up with a little target practice. In the cross-hairs today: Laundromats

Let's make "assumption busting" a little more concrete by looking at one of my favorite examples of an industry with assumptions ripe for busting, the glamorous world of Laundromats. I currently live across the street from one of the thousands of fluorescent-bathed Laundromats that dot the streets of New York City. I've had the pleasure of living in New York most of my life, and have sampled a myriad of the City's laundry establishments. While they all tend to look a little different - the age of the machines, the color of the walls, the out-of-order sign hanging above the change machine - they all share one thing in common. They are some of the most unpleasant spaces to spend time in, only slightly edging out the Post Office and the DMV.

So what exactly is going on here? Is the aesthetic appeal of Laundromats simply a reflection of the economics of the business model - i.e., fluorescent lighting & lime-colored paint are all that Laundromats can afford given their thin profit margins? Tell Howard Schultz, the founder of Starbucks that and I'm sure it would make him chuckle. Starbucks showed the world, or at least the US, that masses of people were not only willing to spend more than $1 on a cup of coffee, they were willing to spend 5x that amount given the right atmosphere and the proper balance of sugar & caffeine. Starbucks busted the lid (no pun intended) off long-held assumptions regarding the range of possible coffee behaviors of US consumers, and completely redefined the market.

It's not about the bottom line
The bottom line on Laundromats is simple - it's not about the bottom line. Laundromats are unpleasant places not because they cannot afford to look nicer, but because their owners have come to assume, whether explicitly or implicitly, that customers are satisfied with the existing price/value paradigm. And, given the dearth of available alternatives, it’s reasonable to conclude that customers are in fact (relatively) satisfied.

Were Laundromat operators to BUST existing assumptions regarding the role that a Laundromatcould play in people’s lives, and, for example, make Laundromats more hospitable places to spend time, operators could open doors to whole new revenue streams. These new revenue streams could more than cover the cost of Laundromat “beautification”. Much as Starbucks transformed the drinking of coffee into an experience which enticed people to linger around and purchase additional goods (e.g., desserts, CDs, coffee-related "gear"), Laundromats are perfect places to follow such a strategy given that their patrons are captive to their dirty socks for an hour or longer at a time.


How do I locate busting opportunities within my industry?

Let’s set our opportunities within the Laundromat business aside and discuss how you can locate the assumption-busting opportunities within your industry. Busting is a 2-step process, and like many approaches that can uncover large opportunities, it requires your time, your focus and some of your best thinking.

Step 1

In step 1 you want to codify - i.e. put down on paper - all of the critical assumptions under which your company currently operates. By critical, I mean those assumptions that are core drivers of your company’s growth & sustenance .

An easy way to determine whether an assumption is critical to your business is to ask, "If this assumption proved to be wrong, how much would my business suffer?" If you assess the potential impact to be excessive - e.g., you could lose your most important customers, miss out on explosive growth opportunities, be made extremely vulnerable to competitors, or be put out of business altogether - then the assumption is a critical one.

Categories under which critical assumptions typically fall include assumptions regarding products, prospects & customers, competitors, the industry, organizational structure & competencies, partners & suppliers, technology, and the macro environment. (Below I have provided examples of some common types of critical assumptions)

Completing step 1 often serves as a major eye-opener. Businesspeople frequently find it challenging to identify even a few of their most critical assumptions. Often this is because over time a company’s critical assumptions have become so ingrained within the company’s DNA that they have become all but invisible to most employees¹. Organizations that find themselves in such circumstances place themselves at great risk to external "surprises" – or what I like to refer to as things organizations would have seen coming had they actively monitored their critical assumptions!

Step 2

After you have identified your critical assumptions, you’re ready to move onto step 2. The goal of step 2 is to identify assumption-busting opportunities. This is accomplished by analyzing & pressure testing each of your assumptions from step 1; asking simple, yet provocative, questions such as:

• Is this assumption still valid, or is it ripe for busting? How would I find out? Does my business have processes that allow for efficient, low-risk validation of this assumption? (I.e., can we easily test whether this assumption has busting-potential?) If we learn that the assumption is ripe for busting, what does it imply for our business strategy, our products, our marketing, our organizational structure, etc.? What activities or projects should we start/stop/increase/reduce?
• How can I effectively monitor this assumption on an ongoing basis? Does my business have the flexibility to respond quickly & effectively to changes to this assumption?
• If we learn that this assumption is still valid are there any activities or projects that we should start/stop/increase/reduce?
  

Enough reading. It’s BUSTING time!

Busting is best started by practicing the process within your "personal lab". Your first objective is to become comfortable with the two steps of busting and adept at surfacing your critical assumptions. Begin by doing exercises in which you focus upon a single category (e.g., Products) and try to identify a few critical assumptions within it. Take each assumption you've identified through the battery of questions listed in step 2 above. Now imagine a scenario in which you determine that the assumption is invalid, i.e., ripe for busting. What could it imply for your business? What actions might you consider taking? Write down all of your thoughts.

When you’re done, move onto another category (e.g., Technology) and run through the exercise again. Run through this exercise for each category over the course of a week or two, and see what you come up with. As you become more comfortable with this exercise you can start to bring busting-based thinking into your organization, leading the effort to push for the deep, strategic thinking that is in dangerously short supply in our modern corporations.

-------------

1 - This seems to be more common within large organizations and organizations where people change roles on a frequent basis. I believe this is because in such organizations, the designers of the original business strategies have either left or moved into different parts of the company, taking with them the assumptions that underpinned the strategies they developed. What is left behind is a set of activities, processes, and reporting procedures to be carried out by new employees, often with little explanation regarding their rationale.

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Your pricing and marketing strategy should be influenced by your customer's reference point

We love to think of ourselves as rational, objective beings. And yet endless scientific studies indicate that we are anything but... context, the framing of information, and cues can have a profound influence upon how we view the world, and the decisions that we make...



Let's start with a fun warm-up exercise!
Real quick - what animal is displayed in the picture to the right?

(make a mental note of what you think and then scroll down for the answer)






















The answer is... drum roll please... there are two answers in fact. The picture is most certainly of a rabbit. But the picture is also of a duck. Can you see both of them?

For the majority of you who are seeing this optical illusion for the first time, I would guess that you saw a rabbit when you looked at the picture. Why? Thumper. The picture of Bambi's pal sitting at the top of this post alongside a carrot acted as a "cue", priming the "rabbit neurons" in your brain, and shaping your perception in the process. (Had I shown you a picture of Daffy Duck instead of Thumper, many of you would have seen a duck, not a rabbit. Sorry, Daffy.)



But what do "rabbit-ducks" have to do with marketing & pricing?
Simple. To be a successful marketer, it is critical that you develop an adeptness for identifying consumer contexts & reference points, as these factors strongly influence consumer perception, behavior, and price sensitivity. Of course, identification alone is not enough - you must use such insights as key inputs into your overall marketing strategy.

So to use a silly, "Thumpereqsue" example, if you know that people are bringing a "bunny-loving" lens to your restaurant because Bambi is playing at the movie theater next door, you might not want to offer wild rabbit as one of your dinner specials.


"Doug, can I interest you in tush warmers?"
Let's bring the concept of consumer context & reference points a little closer to home with an example that many of us can relate to: the old "car-options" strategy utilized successfully by thousands of car salespeople every day... it goes like this: if you're purchasing a big-ticket item (e.g., a new car, an expensive vacation, a new suit, etc.), you're more likely to also purchase lower-priced "options" or 'add-ons' than if you were offered these same items at a later date.

(hypothetical scene of me in a showroom purchasing a new car)
"Doug, how about we add those tush warmers to the car?... only $250 per seat... you know how chilly leather seats can get in New York during the winter..."

"Sounds good, Mr. Salesperson... what's an extra $500 when I'm already spending $XX,XXX on the car?"

Now instead imagine Mr. Salesperson offering me the same "warmers" for my new car 2 weeks after I've driven it off the lot. Even if he could have them installed without my having to lift a finger, I would likely balk at the offer.

"Thanks for the offer, Mr. Salesperson, but I think I'm all set. Love the new car, by the way. Thanks again for all your help"

Same tush warmers. Different context, different reference points, and different willingness to make a purchase.

In the first scenario I was in "open-wallet" mode. In the second scenario I was not. In the first scenario my reference point for the tush warmers was the several thousand dollar new car that I was in the process of buying. In the second scenario my reference point might have been an outrageous electric bill that I had paid only moments before the salesman made his offer.


Jelly belly's popcorn-flavored channel & pricing strategy
Jelly belly, a leader in the jellybean industry, provides us with a good example of a company that leveraged its knowledge of consumer reference points to develop a channel strategy that enabled it to charge premium prices for its jellybeans.

Instead of selling its jellybeans through traditional candy outlets, Jelly Belly made the conscious decision to sell them at specialty and gift stores, where sweets alternatives included higher-priced items such as gourmet chocolates and fruit baskets.

Since the reference points of people shopping at gift stores were these higher-priced sweets and not other jellybeans, Jelly Belly could price its 'beans at a substantial premium to other 'beans and still provide a cheaper sweets alternative for the gift-store shoppers.

Same jellybeans. Different context, different reference points, different price sensitivity.


How do I start applying these concepts?
Leveraging your insights around consumer context & reference points can turbo-charge the performance of your business by providing you with the means to significantly improve your marketing & pricing strategy.

The first step in this powerful process is to generate deep insights around your target customer's context & reference points. Below I have supplied some initial questions to get you started:

insights around customer context
What are the most common contexts in which your target customers [develop a need for | search for & learn about | compare & purchase | install | use & maintain | repurchase] your product or service?

-What do I mean by "context"? Context refers to those attributes that describe the environments of your target customers, such as: where they are - time & place. who they are they with. what they are doing. what is on their minds. their current objectives & goals. their current physiological & emotional states. get the idea?

insights around reference points
What reference points are your consumers using when they [search for & learn about | compare & purchase | use & maintain | repurchase] your service? How do these reference points impact: Their receptivity to your offering? Their openness to the price of your offering? Their experience when using your offering?

-What do I mean by "reference points"? Reference points are the points of comparison or anchors a consumer uses when assessing or experiencing your product. To use an extreme illustration, imagine two people who are given a used 2005 Toyota Corolla for free. One is a first-generation immigrant who earns $17,ooo a year, whose only mode of transport is a beat-up Yamaha motorbike. The other is a multi-millionaire who already owns 4 luxury cars. Given the two people's vastly different reference points for the free Toyota, their responses to the news about the free car will differ dramatically.

After generating insights around your target customers' contexts & reference points, you will want to explore how you can use these insights across critical aspects of your marketing strategy. In some cases how to leverage the insights will be obvious; in other cases you will have to stretch your thinking and percolate your creative juices.

In a future post I will run through some concrete examples so you can see these essential marketing concepts in action, and develop a greater understanding for how to use them in your business.

As always, I welcome your comments, thoughts, and questions.

Please feel free to email me if you have any questions about pricing and how to effectively use reference points within your business.






Related posts

• How to unleash the power of context and turbo-charge your marketing

• Product-sandwich product & pricing strategy

• Marketing & the 5 W's: why every marketer should take a journalism class

• CoNtEXT is King
  

Great books on pricing strategy

• The Strategy and Tactics of Pricing: A Guide to Growing More Profitably (4th Edition) (Pie)

Check out my favorite business books

read more

How your pricing and marketing strategy should be influenced by your customer's reference point

We love to think of ourselves as rational, objective beings. And yet endless scientific studies indicate that we are anything but... context, the framing of information, and cues can have a profound influence upon how we view the world, and the decisions that we make...



Let's start with a fun warm-up exercise!
Real quick - what animal is displayed in the picture to the right?

(make a mental note of what you think and then scroll down for the answer)






















The answer is... drum roll please... there are two answers in fact. The picture is most certainly of a rabbit. But the picture is also of a duck. Can you see both of them?

For the majority of you who are seeing this optical illusion for the first time, I would guess that you saw a rabbit when you looked at the picture. Why? Thumper. The picture of Bambi's pal sitting at the top of this post alongside a carrot acted as a "cue", priming the "rabbit neurons" in your brain, and shaping your perception in the process. (Had I shown you a picture of Daffy Duck instead of Thumper, many of you would have seen a duck, not a rabbit. Sorry, Daffy.)



But what do "rabbit-ducks" have to do with marketing & pricing?
Simple. To be a successful marketer, it is critical that you develop an adeptness for identifying consumer contexts & reference points, as these factors strongly influence consumer perception, behavior, and price sensitivity. Of course, identification alone is not enough - you must use such insights as key inputs into your overall marketing strategy.

So to use a silly, "Thumpereqsue" example, if you know that people are bringing a "bunny-loving" lens to your restaurant because Bambi is playing at the movie theater next door, you might not want to offer wild rabbit as one of your dinner specials.


"Doug, can I interest you in tush warmers?"
Let's bring the concept of consumer context & reference points a little closer to home with an example that many of us can relate to: the old "car-options" strategy utilized successfully by thousands of car salespeople every day... it goes like this: if you're purchasing a big-ticket item (e.g., a new car, an expensive vacation, a new suit, etc.), you're more likely to also purchase lower-priced "options" or 'add-ons' than if you were offered these same items at a later date.

(hypothetical scene of me in a showroom purchasing a new car)
"Doug, how about we add those tush warmers to the car?... only $250 per seat... you know how chilly leather seats can get in New York during the winter..."

"Sounds good, Mr. Salesperson... what's an extra $500 when I'm already spending $XX,XXX on the car?"

Now instead imagine Mr. Salesperson offering me the same "warmers" for my new car 2 weeks after I've driven it off the lot. Even if he could have them installed without my having to lift a finger, I would likely balk at the offer.

"Thanks for the offer, Mr. Salesperson, but I think I'm all set. Love the new car, by the way. Thanks again for all your help"

Same tush warmers. Different context, different reference points, and different willingness to make a purchase.

In the first scenario I was in "open-wallet" mode. In the second scenario I was not. In the first scenario my reference point for the tush warmers was the several thousand dollar new car that I was in the process of buying. In the second scenario my reference point might have been an outrageous electric bill that I had paid only moments before the salesman made his offer.


Jelly belly's popcorn-flavored channel & pricing strategy
Jelly belly, a leader in the jellybean industry, provides us with a good example of a company that leveraged its knowledge of consumer reference points to develop a channel strategy that enabled it to charge premium prices for its jellybeans.

Instead of selling its jellybeans through traditional candy outlets, Jelly Belly made the conscious decision to sell them at specialty and gift stores, where sweets alternatives included higher-priced items such as gourmet chocolates and fruit baskets.

Since the reference points of people shopping at gift stores were these higher-priced sweets and not other jellybeans, Jelly Belly could price its 'beans at a substantial premium to other 'beans and still provide a cheaper sweets alternative for the gift-store shoppers.

Same jellybeans. Different context, different reference points, different price sensitivity.


How do I start applying these concepts?
Leveraging your insights around consumer context & reference points can turbo-charge the performance of your business by providing you with the means to significantly improve your marketing & pricing strategy.

The first step in this powerful process is to generate deep insights around your target customer's context & reference points. Below I have supplied some initial questions to get you started:

insights around customer context
What are the most common contexts in which your target customers [develop a need for | search for & learn about | compare & purchase | install | use & maintain | repurchase] your product or service?

-What do I mean by "context"? Context refers to those attributes that describe the environments of your target customers, such as: where they are - time & place. who they are they with. what they are doing. what is on their minds. their current objectives & goals. their current physiological & emotional states. get the idea?

insights around reference points
What reference points are your consumers using when they [search for & learn about | compare & purchase | use & maintain | repurchase] your service? How do these reference points impact: Their receptivity to your offering? Their openness to the price of your offering? Their experience when using your offering?

-What do I mean by "reference points"? Reference points are the points of comparison or anchors a consumer uses when assessing or experiencing your product. To use an extreme illustration, imagine two people who are given a used 2005 Toyota Corolla for free. One is a first-generation immigrant who earns $17,ooo a year, whose only mode of transport is a beat-up Yamaha motorbike. The other is a multi-millionaire who already owns 4 luxury cars. Given the two people's vastly different reference points for the free Toyota, their responses to the news about the free car will differ dramatically.

After generating insights around your target customers' contexts & reference points, you will want to explore how you can use these insights across critical aspects of your marketing strategy. In some cases how to leverage the insights will be obvious; in other cases you will have to stretch your thinking and percolate your creative juices.

In a future post I will run through some concrete examples so you can see these essential marketing concepts in action, and develop a greater understanding for how to use them in your business.

As always, I welcome your comments, thoughts, and questions. 

Please feel free to email me if you have any questions about pricing and how to effectively use reference points within your business.






Related posts

• How to unleash the power of context and turbo-charge your marketing

• Product-sandwich product & pricing strategy

• Marketing & the 5 W's: why every marketer should take a journalism class

• CoNtEXT is King
  

Great books on pricing strategy

• The Strategy and Tactics of Pricing: A Guide to Growing More Profitably (4th Edition) (Pie)

read more

Marketing warriors, fight for thy customer!

Whenever I need a little marketing pick-me-up, I turn to this guy, The Ultimate Warrior (the nice-looking gentleman pictured to the right). A beacon of strength, courage & determination, Ultimate fought his way to the top of the World Wrestling Federation during my youth, despite the greater popularity of Hulk Hogan. Sure, much of his energy was likely derived from illicit muscle-enhancers pumping through his body, but that's beside the point.

Much the way The Ultimate Warrior fought his way to the top through his courage & determination, I am calling on all marketers to reach into their "inner Warriors" and fight for the single most important long-term success factor of any company, your customers. It's up to you to ensure that your customer remains king within your organization.

To pull a couple of quotes from the modern-day Plato of business, the late Peter Drucker, everything begins & ends with the customer:

"The purpose of a business is to create a customer"

"The aim of marketing is to know and understand the customer so well the product or service fits him and sells itself"

Battling product-centric thinking
While the business world purports to live in the age of customer-centricity, I am convinced that we still live in an era of product-centered thought. There are numerous factors that underlie this, from organizational structure to the science of human cognition & our inability to hold onto abstract concepts such as needs (vs. far more concrete concepts like products or services).

While I find such topics fascinating, this post in not about exploring what cognitive science can tell us about business thinking. It's about making one thing clear to all marketers, and that is that within your organization you are the ultimate champion of the customer. And without your strong voice, your organization's long-term future may be put in jeopardy. It's a heck of a responsibility to have, which makes it all the more rewarding.

What I have attempted to do in previous posts is to introduce concepts to help us become more customer-centric in our thinking, and in our approach to business. Whether it be through the help of tools such as the purchase journal, talking to your mother, or the cultivating of your inner consumer voice, developing fluency in customer-centric thought is key to great marketing as well as successful business outcomes.

In closing, a few wisdoms for us to keep in mind

• We think about about our products 100x more often than our customers ever do. The inverse is likely true with respect to their needs.
  

• Our products are tools used by our customers to satisfy their given needs, problems or desires. Our products are a means to an end for our customers, not ends in themselves.
  

• Deep insights about consumers is the foundation upon which great new products are built. The Field of Dreams approach (i.e., "build it and they will come") generally only works in the movies.

• As humans (& marketers), we're wired in such a way that makes it easier for us to think about the concrete (i.e., our products) than the abstract (i.e., our customers' needs). Given this, we need to continuously work-out our customer-centric "muscles" to battle against our tendency to shift back to thinking about our products.
  

As always, please post your comments, questions or thoughts, or feel free to send me an email. Happy marketing, fellow Warriors.

read more

Marketing warriors, fight for thy customer!

Whenever I need a little marketing pick-me-up, I turn to this guy, The Ultimate Warrior (the nice-looking gentleman pictured to the right). A beacon of strength, courage & determination, Ultimate fought his way to the top of the World Wrestling Federation during my youth, despite the greater popularity of Hulk Hogan. Sure, much of his energy was likely derived from illicit muscle-enhancers pumping through his body, but that's beside the point.

Much the way The Ultimate Warrior fought his way to the top through his courage & determination, I am calling on all marketers to reach into their "inner Warriors" and fight for the single most important long-term success factor of any company, your customers. It's up to you to ensure that your customer remains king within your organization.

To pull a couple of quotes from the modern-day Plato of business, the late Peter Drucker, everything begins & ends with the customer:

"The purpose of a business is to create a customer"

"The aim of marketing is to know and understand the customer so well the product or service fits him and sells itself"

Battling product-centric thinking
While the business world purports to live in the age of customer-centricity, I am convinced that we still live in an era of product-centered thought. There are numerous factors that underlie this, from organizational structure to the science of human cognition & our inability to hold onto abstract concepts such as needs (vs. far more concrete concepts like products or services).

While I find such topics fascinating, this post in not about exploring what cognitive science can tell us about business thinking. It's about making one thing clear to all marketers, and that is that within your organization you are the ultimate champion of the customer. And without your strong voice, your organization's long-term future may be put in jeopardy. It's a heck of a responsibility to have, which makes it all the more rewarding.

What I have attempted to do in previous posts is to introduce concepts to help us become more customer-centric in our thinking, and in our approach to business. Whether it be through the help of tools such as the purchase journal, talking to your mother, or the cultivating of your inner consumer voice, developing fluency in customer-centric thought is key to great marketing as well as successful business outcomes.

In closing, a few wisdoms for us to keep in mind

• We think about about our products 100x more often than our customers ever do. The inverse is likely true with respect to their needs.
  

• Our products are tools used by our customers to satisfy their given needs, problems or desires. Our products are a means to an end for our customers, not ends in themselves.
  

• Deep insights about consumers is the foundation upon which great new products are built. The Field of Dreams approach (i.e., "build it and they will come") generally only works in the movies.

• As humans (& marketers), we're wired in such a way that makes it easier for us to think about the concrete (i.e., our products) than the abstract (i.e., our customers' needs). Given this, we need to continuously work-out our customer-centric "muscles" to battle against our tendency to shift back to thinking about our products.
  

As always, please post your comments, questions or thoughts, or feel free to send me an email. Happy marketing, fellow Warriors.

read more